Thursday, 12 February 2015

Feb2015: Matrix breakout !

I bought her on 6Feb at 2.83, expecting a successful breakout on that day itself but she closes 2.82 just on the 200MA line.
Then the 2nd day disappointed me as there is no follow up.
I was seeing she manage to hold above the 20MA, this gives me the patience to hold on further.
And PATIENCE does pay !
Finally she manage to breakout successfully with good volume.
There is a minor 1st resistance at 2.93.
Since today is her 1st breakout day, and closes at 2.88,  I'm expecting her to reach the 2nd resistance at 2.99. Lets see how it go, I'm waiting to collect my "Angpao" at 2.99 :)


Friday, 2 January 2015

2014 KLCI closing ! A drop of 5.6% for the year

Since 2009, KLCI has been climbing every year. After 5 years, this is the 1st year KLCI drop and is a significant one of 5.6% (105 pt). Is 10+am now, KLCI has been dropping for 16pt, will this be a signal or indication, this year would not be a good year for KLCI also ? If KLCI not able to climb till upper trendline, then the downtrend momentum would consider intensified. Time will tell. This is the time for the hard core value investor to braise for the difficult time where their paper profit may have half off or for the just bought in the end of 2014, then is a huge loss that would test their patience to to hold on and to average down when the time is right .


Friday, 28 November 2014

Is this the time to buy?

KLCI still in the downtrend if you ask me. So, is a NO. But for those VERY short term trader, or I say contra players or day trader is still business as usual. For me as a Value investor cum trend trader, is a hands off period and go for holiday. Hmm....maybe I can use this opportunities to sharper my skill as a shorter term trader, but definitely this will come with a price of RISK!.

Last few weeks, I bought SKPetro as quite a few of my "kakis" was mentioning here says her a Index stock and very cheap now. Well, I know that she is in downtrend mode and is not time to go for long term investing , I just go in have a counter trend trade. I went in at 3.16, but she broke my stop loss point of 3.14, thus , I sold her 3.13, in deed she drop further, lowest at 3.04, but after that she rebound back to 3.24. I have no regret, thats what a short term trade is , obey your stop loss. And for those who think is think for investing, she is now drop to 2.82. Wow ! imagine, if I do not obey my stop loss and maybe i hesitate to sell at 3.24, then I'm in a dilemma of trapping at a loss of 10%. Well, if one is to trade and not investing, then the cut loss should be less than 10% as a guide.

Last few days, I was expecting our CI can break the last High around 1858, then we will be on track back to the good old uptrends. See below the chart, our CI has been constraint by the 2 trendlines. Well, for a short term trade, say 2~10 days trade, a good entry point when she rebound around 1806 but the safer point would be 1771 or 1700?. Lets, hope our market would be at 1700, if yes, then the 5 years once big correction or people call it market collapse is formed.




As usual, just remember my disclaimer at the left hand side.

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