Thursday, 27 October 2011

Value Invest - COASTAL (5071)

After studying her for some time on her fundamental strengths and with a confirmation from my friend (who has a firm wealth building strategy using value investment), I decided to post her out as she has started to show some signal technically.

Fundamentally (Rate : 5 star !!!)
This is what I want to stress , she is a real GEM in terms of value investing.
Today closing price = 1.94 
Current PE ratio = 4.67  (based on last year EPS)
TTM PE ratio =4.12
2010 ROE = 33.34%
Dividend Yield ~ 3.4%
Intrinsic value = 4.65 (based on a very conservative & discounted calculation).

Since now she is at 1.94, which is at 41% of her intrinsic, she is a real bargain and gem.

Note : OSK rated Fair Value = 3.38

Technically, 

Stochastic has already given buy signal on 25/Oct but vol was not convincing then.
Today, MACD has flash a buy signal coming in (tomorrow confirm ?).
TA strategy : Breakout play
Entry =1.98  , Cut loss if break below 1.79, Profit target = 2.19.













Mission Accomplished ! Well done Supermx !

As per the trading plan in http://reiccs.blogspot.com/2011/10/bingo-uoadev-supermx.html, Supermx has reached his 2nd profit target RM3.60 (22% gain in 5 days) after reaching 3.41 in the morning. His intraday high is 3.63. So, for momentum play, the mission has been accomplished. Seems like 'superman" finally get rid of the kryptonite thats been affecting her flight for 1 year + , haha....

Technically, he need to flight above the 3.60 and the 200MA enemy (resistance!) to break free. As usual super hero cannot win all in a single battle, if not the movie will end fast (haha!). So, expect some tough fight here or maybe our Superman finally fully charged up and leap in a single bound ?









Monday, 24 October 2011

KFIMA -Momentum Play & Value invest

I heard of this KFIMA stock quite a while but have not been purchase her before.
Recently, I found she has just broke above the 200MA which quite a lot of stocks in KLCI
still below this.

TA (Technical Analysis)
MACD 4R1G just flash buy signal and now her price is following a short term uptrend line.
Entry will be 1.64, Stop loss close below 1.55 & Profit at 1.69. Volume after 10am need to be >85k units.
Hmm, technically, the risk reward ratio is not attractive. Only Fast in Fast out. Well, what about bull & hold for a while in fundamental point of view ?



FA (Fundamental Analysis)
I have go thru her 2002~2011 EPS growth. Very attractive in the last 5 years. Based on the growth & earnings, she at least worth >1.83 (her recent peak). Cashflow is good. I'm in the middle of checking her intrinsic value (= her real worth if you treat yourself a long term investor), will blog out her worth later.
At 1.62 today, her PE ratio =6 .

25/Oct
Finally calculated out her intrinsic value (Fair value for some may use), she worth about 1.86 after taking into consideration she is a small cap & also assuming her EPS growth will be consistent or similar to these recent few years. I would rate her as a HOLD for FA point of view. Note : My rating for Accumulate for FA stocks is those with huge discount >30~50%% from her intrinsic value.



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