Part 2 : ACE IPO .... Can you gain on ACE IPO?

In my Part 1 , I mentioned I study the data from 2014 to 2016.
But for ACE, since the listing stocks is lesser, I have accounted from 2011 to 2016,
there is a total of 10 stocks.

From the table above, we can do a simple analysis

1) With the same Main IPO strategy as before but this time we target 20% profit or sell at 3rd day closing.  Your success rate in Profiting from the IPO is 100%. All 9 stocks earn 20%, while only Krolonogi earn 10.5% on the 3rd day.

Let see another strategy, this one will give better high gain but Krolonogi will end up only about breakeven.

So, ACE IPO is much better than Mainboard IPO from my 2 Part analysis.

As always,caveat emptor, my writing is solely for learning purposes and no intention to make any buy or sell call.

Part 1 : Main Board IPO ....Can you gain from applying IPO?

Recently I have discussing the IPO topic with my sis and friends.
My sis though not favor on applying IPO but she did applied for Chin Hin.
She did not get back her money 1 day before listing date, so she thought she
was being allocated some shares. When seeing the price jump 25% above the
issue price, she was only too excited to be disappointed to know she wasn't allocated any.

This lead me to remember back my uni years (1993) when my friends and I use to apply IPO to
earn some extra pocket money. That time, we will sell it on the 1st day when we were lucky
being allocated some shares. That time all our successful allotted IPO gain above their issue price.

I have did a summary from 2014 till Mar/2016 to evaluate on the success rate of KLSE main board IPO. I have excluded all ETF which has very low liquidity and most probable will drop below issue price. I also excluded SPAC stocks like RSENA due to the experience of Hibiscus which we see the price will drop below issue price and not go up till they have identified a potential purchase candidat. In the Part 2, I will summarize on ACE IPO.

From the above, one can see if our strategy is q to sell at 10% gain, if by 3rd day, the q still not done, will sell at closing,  our success rate is 77% which I think is a good probability. Only 3 out of 18 stocks (16.7%) will end up lost money. One can tweak the strategy to 15% gain target which would also give a good success rate with better return rate.

So, what would you think of this ?  Is it worth while to apply for Main Board IPO ?

As usual, caveat emptor on all my writings